Global Risks Report 2

1. Fragile Societies under Pressure.

- Why is the social fragility rising socio-economic inequality within countries?

- What are the effects associated with climate change?

“Among the members of OECD, the average income of the richest 10% has now grown to about nine times that of the poorest 10%”

“The spread of connectivity enables protest movements to mount more quickly, increasing the risk of unrest and violence that could easily spill over from individual countries to affect the global economy”

“States will need to mitigate this risk through policies to make growth more inclusive: providing public goods and services such as social protection, hospitals, schools, transport and telecommunications infrastructure”

2. Growing Worries about Conflict.

- What is the most likely high-impact risk over the next 10 years or indeed perhaps even sooner?

- How the link between many forms of global crime and corruption and their impact on global security, extremism, terrorism, and fragile grown up?

“Disillusion about globalization is leading to more self-interested foreign policies in combination with a rise in national sentiment fuelled in part by the social pressures described above.”

“Over past years, the links between many forms of global crime and corruption and their impact on global security, extremism, terrorism and fragile states have only grown stronger, and it is critical to acknowledge and address them through more effective policies that curb illegal financial flows, foster transparent governance and build capacity around anti-crime efforts at the national and local levels.”

3. Economic Risks: Out of the Spotlight.

- How the global economy recently grows up?

- Why in many countries public debt levels are still high? And related to what?

“Since the financial crisis, the use of expansionary monetary policy – such as quantitative easing and zero interest rates – has not had the expected impact of significantly increasing credit availability in the real economy, instead leading to a reflation of asset prices”

“The risks of a failure of a major financial mechanism or institution and fiscal crises are perceived as equally impactful and likely as in last year’s report ,yet other risks, such as water crises, interstate conflict and the failure of climate-change adaptation, have taken center stage.

4. Environment – High Concern, Little Progress.

- Over the past decade, how is the awareness regarding the threats posed by environmental change to social, political, and economic security?

- Did the US National Intelligence Council identified the nexus of food, water, energy and climate change as one of four overarching mega trends?

“Agriculture already accounts for on average 70% of total water consumption and, according to the World Bank, food production will need to increase by 50% by 2030 as the population grows and dietary habits change”

“ Strong evidence of the effects of climate change is already apparent, in terms of sea level rise, shrinking glaciers, warmer oceans and the increasing frequency of weather extremes.”

5. Technological Risks: Back to the Future

- What is the thing lead to the risk of large-scale cyber attacks continue to think above average on both dimensions of impact and likelihood?

- What are the effects of the complexity of addressing risks?

“While this will deliver innovation, the prospect of many large players across multiple industries being forced to change so radically at the same time raises potential systemic risks such as large-scale disruption in labor markets and volatility in financial markets”

6. Preparedness at the Regional Level Is Different
- Why Europe population involuntary migration and profound social instability?
- How Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the Middle East and North Africa profound social instability?
- How East Asia and the Pacific are perceived as least prepared for interstate conflict and failure of urban planning?
- How failure of urban planning affect to the first three risks in East Asia and the Pacific, Latin America and the Caribbean, and South Asia?
“North America identifies failure/shortfall of critical infrastructure, large-scale cyber attacks and failure of climate-change adaptation as the three risks for which it is least prepared. Major breakdowns of infrastructure in the wake of Super storm Sandy and the sheer number of cyber attacks illustrate the low level of preparedness.”
“Sub-Saharan Africa is considered least prepared for infectious diseases and unemployment. Both are of key importance given recent events and the fact that strong population growth is expected to exacerbate unemployment in the coming years, despite expected economic growth”

Global Risks Report

Nowadays, globalization is creating many certain advantages and we can sum up such as some points below:-It has ability to develop, to generalize information technology, vehicle telecom.

- It pushes the development of economy, commercial and create feasibility of objective economic laws in a vast global space.

- It created opportunities for cultural exchange and spacious thoughts, makes people more closely together.

- Finally, globalization offers the potential to solve some common problems faced with the economic and social development.

Besides these advantages, globalization is posting for the countries in the world, especially developing country challenges and enormous risks :

In terms of social, most countries are faced with common problems in the development of national economy, such as ecological problems, environmental pollution and resource depletion, population issues and public health, the rich-poor gap, social evils and international crime.

Politically, it is often referred to the serious challenges of globalization on national sovereignty. That is explained by the impact of the economic to the political. The economic integration will lead to increased political integration. With that logic, people talk about the weakening of the nation-state model. In the context of the current globalization, people often talk about the interdependence of the nation rather than referring to the complete independence of those countries.

According to the infographic above, it shows the least prepared risk in each region. In Africa, the least prepared risk are about unemployment or under employment, failure of urban planning and food crises. In our region - South Asia, the least prepared risk are failure of urban planning, terrorist attacks, and water crises. This infographic shows us the least prepared risk so we have a better preparation in the future.

According to the infographic, India is the country have most global risks of highest concern for doing business. For example, failure of major financial mechanism or institution, liquidity crises, and profound political and social instability. We all know that some cities in India lack of water, and many people died because of that reason. This infographic wants to help us to see which country need helps.

According to the infographic above, we can see that energy price shock increase each day and that's mean energy is very rarely now. the failure of financial and critical is increasing also but the fiscal crises and unemployment or under employment is down. 

We can see that all the three infographic show us that we are in the risk even small or large, so we should ready and have a better preparation in the future. and the country who has least prepared is in the high global risk like Africa. 

Motivation

Whenever I think about the word "success", I do not know why I always envision about the image airplane. At the beginning, the airplane is running on the runway ready to take off is always heaviest and most difficult; however, when they took off in the middle , it seems there is a sudden change, it flew into the air with a completion rate very different.

I am a generation 9x, was once a girl living in the slums, where bustling with markets, with action footage of gore is lifelike. And I also grew up "without mom and dad" as a lot of orphaned people out there. But you know what? I am a student in the international school - not a lament, nor that I show off at all. I just wanna share for you to know that your life will be better if you try hard. Okay, remember whether you ever done to boost your motivation, or in the other words you have to find where is your motivation to overcome a difficult, certain challenges in life. Let me guess, are you thinking about your dreams, your passions? Are you thinking about changing your life right now? Hmm... or are you thinking about your family? or your friends? A promise, is not it? Do not fool me, you're in love, right? A quote, is not it? What, a clip on Youtube? Hair cut? Well, there is a billions of thoughts and ways, but no matter what you say, I believe you all. However, the truth is "FLAME" falling very fast and you can not control it! Why? Because you are an usual person , not a genius IQ, there is no perfect life. And me too!

Are you an extrovert or introvert? You're the type of person family or work? You are the dreamer type or reality? You're the kind of people reason or emotion? You're the kind of people who dare to dream big or just a usual people? Are you a business or IT people, or you're a musician? 

So I mean it! You can not recommend an adventurer sit around game to solve problems. You also can not recommend a family type go to bar flirting. Generally, you can not apply their own way with other people. Everything you do is just a suggestion, and only temporary effect. Yourself, too, though in certain circumstances,do not hope to find the motivation to advice from somebody or from the view an article, or a clip.

Do you wonder why you have to get up every morning to go to work? The reason you have to do is monthly basis you should have some money to spend on something. Usually something has to be satisfied, people are no longer interested in it anymore, if there continues to do without the excitement, it means that all motivation. When you have less motivation, the engine will not work as well. If you do something that is of great goals, challenges and to assert themselves or satisfy themselves, it will give you the motivation restless and thereby help you to always work an innovative and effective way.

I would like to apply the Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs because it's easy to understand from the basic to advanced.  I think motivation ignorance is important , for example, you doubt your husband has girl friend but does not check his phone, or you may think that you feel pain in your stomach but does not go to hospital. People easily to affect or dying in motivated ignorance when they avoid to learning potentially valuable information. Motivated ignorance can harmful to individual and social people, but sometimes it can based on conscious, like when knowledge can be result would be damage to human well being.